Model Report: Q_drop_centred_unit, sigma_w sd = 0.25 NB (t2m_mean_pop_weighted(0))

Timing

Posterior Sampling: 52.42 seconds

Log Likelihood Compute: 3.11 seconds

Summary

mean sd hdi_3% hdi_97% mcse_mean mcse_sd ess_bulk ess_tail r_hat
intercept -9.921 0.016 -9.952 -9.891 0.000 0.000 9872.0 6012.0 1.0
sigma 0.368 0.005 0.359 0.378 0.000 0.000 11103.0 5981.0 1.0
sigma_w 0.971 0.142 0.713 1.241 0.002 0.001 5911.0 5891.0 1.0
w[0] -2.222 0.172 -2.543 -1.899 0.002 0.002 5930.0 6092.0 1.0
w[1] 1.056 0.174 0.726 1.381 0.002 0.002 6551.0 5663.0 1.0
w[2] -0.546 0.067 -0.671 -0.420 0.001 0.001 9984.0 6986.0 1.0
w[3] 0.121 0.059 0.007 0.227 0.001 0.001 9932.0 5924.0 1.0
w[4] 0.335 0.102 0.142 0.526 0.001 0.001 9772.0 6677.0 1.0
w[5] -2.412 0.411 -3.184 -1.656 0.005 0.004 5691.0 5372.0 1.0
w[6] 2.642 0.734 1.321 4.035 0.010 0.008 5156.0 5150.0 1.0
w[7] -0.127 0.890 -1.832 1.464 0.009 0.010 10128.0 5900.0 1.0

Trace Plot

Pair Plot

Spline Plot